A majority of New York voters believe President Donald Trump’s domestic and foreign policy agenda will not “make America great” and believe that the “Big Beautiful Bill” making its way through Congress will worsen life for Americans, according to a Siena College poll of registered voters released Wednesday.
According to the poll, 54% of voters say the president’s agenda so far won’t help the country while 33% say it will.
“It’s not surprising in a state where Democrats outnumber Republicans two-to-one – the President’s home for most of his life – that New Yorkers do not think that everything that Trump is doing – domestically and abroad – will make America great,” Siena College pollster Steven Greenberg said. “It’s also not surprising that nearly three-quarters of Republicans think he will make America great, while more than two-thirds of Democrats do not. Interestingly, independents, by a two-to-one margin, do not think Trump will make America great.”
Trump has a negative 37-60% favorability rating in New York, the poll found, and a 39-59% job approval rating, both of which are little changed from May. On several specific issues, Trump has a 45% job approval rating on immigration and a 36% job approval rating on inflation.
In regards to the “Big Beautiful Bill,” which the U.S. Senate passed a version of Tuesday afternoon and now returns to the House of Representatives, voters disapprove of the legislation overall while being in favor of some parts of it. They support eliminating income taxes on tips, 61-21%, and requiring healthy adult Medicaid recipients to work to receive benefits, 48-32%, while they strongly oppose cutting taxes for corporations, 61-24%, and reducing SNAP benefits for the poor, 66%-23%.
“Majorities or pluralities of Democrats, Republicans and independents agree in their support of eliminating taxes on tips, and their opposition to reducing SNAP benefits for poor Americans,” Greenberg said. “While majorities of Democrats and independents oppose cutting taxes for corporations, a small plurality of Republicans supports it. And while a majority of Republicans and plurality of independents support requiring healthy adults on Medicaid to work, Democrats are evenly divided.”
Voters are closely divided on whether state and local tax (SALT) deductions should be kept at current maximum, $10,000, or increased to $40,000, as was included in the House bill largely orchestrated and prioritized by New York Republican members.
On the issue of immigration, the poll found a majority of voters, 51-33%, say U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) agents should not be allowed to detain elected officials.
“While nearly three-quarters of Republicans say ICE should be allowed to detain electeds, more than two-thirds of Democrats and a plurality of independents say ‘no,’ they should not be allowed. Upstate voters are evenly divided but downstate voters strongly say ICE should not be allowed,” Greenberg said.
Also falling along partisan lines is whether or not New York should support or oppose the federal government’s efforts to deport migrants without legal documentation.
“Republicans continue to overwhelmingly want to see the state support federal efforts to deport migrants living illegally in New York, while Democrats continue to oppose by better than two-to-one. Independent voters had favored the state supporting the feds in May, 51-31%, however, they are now closely divided, 37-39%, leaning ever so slightly to wanting the state to oppose federal efforts,” Greenberg said.
According to the poll, New York voters also disapprove by a 54-40% margin of Trump’s job addressing the conflict between Israel and Iran. A narrower margin, 46-38%, oppose Trump’s order to bomb Iran’s nuclear facilities.
“While more than three-quarters of Republicans approve of the job Trump is doing to address the war between Israel and Iran, more than two-thirds of Democrats and a majority of independents disapprove,” Greenberg said. “White voters are evenly divided, while Black and Latino voters strongly disapprove. Jewish voters approve of the job Trump is doing on this war by a 64-28% margin.”
The poll was conducted June 23-26 among 800 registered voters in New York and has an overall margin of error of +/- 4.4 percentage points.