The race for mayor is tightening, with former Gov. Andrew Cuomo holding a less than 10-point lead over Queens Assemblyman Zohran Mamdani, according to a poll from PIX11, Emerson College and The Hill.
In a ranked-choice voting simulation of the Democratic primary, Cuomo defeats Mamdani in the final round with 54% of the vote, compared with Mamdani's 46%.
The first-choice results show Cuomo with 35% support, followed by Mamdani at 23%. Comptroller Brad Lander earned 11%, former Comptroller Scott Stringer held 9%, City Council Speaker Adrienne Adams 8%, state Sen. Zellnor Myrie 5% and state Sen. Jessica Ramos 4%. All other candidates generated under 3% of the vote.
The poll is a stark contrast from a Marist University poll from May 14, which showed Cuomo winning the Democratic primary with 53% of the vote in the final round of voting, compared to Mamdani’s 29%. In that poll, first-choice results also showed Cuomo with 37% support, followed by Mamdani at 18%.
Looking ahead to the November general election, the Emerson College poll found Cuomo leads a hypothetical matchup with 44% of the vote. Republican Curtis Sliwa trails with 13%, while current Mayor Eric Adams, who is running as an independent, holds 10%, and fellow independent Jim Walden gets 7%. However, the poll found that 26% of voters remain undecided.
If Mamdani were the Democratic nominee, 35% said they would back him in the general election, while 16% would support Sliwa, 15% Adams and 6% Walden.
The poll did not account for Cuomo's independent candidacy. Earlier this month, Cuomo said he will appear on the Fight and Deliver Party ballot line regardless of the outcome of the June 24 Democratic primary.
The survey was conducted from May 23-26 among 1,000 registered New York City voters. The Democratic primary sample included 606 voters, with the final ranked-choice simulation based on 500 respondents. The poll's margin of error is +/- 3 to 4.3 percentage points.